Settings
Staking and risk controls
Every recommendation on the site is sized by these rules. Change them here and the calculator below shows the effect immediately.
Bankroll
Stake calculator
Expected value
+20.9%
Fair odds
1.28
Full Kelly
38.00%
Reference only
Recommended stake
£19.00
9.50% of bankroll
Capital protection
StandbyBankroll within 20% of its peak. Standard staking applies.
Drawdown from peak
20.0%
Stake scaling applied
100%
Effective Kelly fraction
25.0%
Responsible gambling
- • Only ever stake money you can afford to lose entirely.
- • Set a deposit limit before you start, not after a losing run.
- • Betting is not an income strategy, and no model changes that.
- • Free, confidential help in the UK: BeGambleAware on 0808 8020 133, or GamCare's National Gambling Helpline. Self-exclude from UK licensed operators via GAMSTOP.
All figures are estimated model probabilities, not guarantees. No outcome is certain. Historical performance is measured separately from model confidence. 18+ only — gamble responsibly.